The Great Depression Explained: From the Roaring Twenties to the Crash of 1929
Section 8 of 16

Stock Market Crash of 1929 Black Thursday and Black Tuesday

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On the morning of October 24th, 1929, a clerk named Charles climbed onto a ledge of a building in downtown Manhattan to do some maintenance work. A crowd gathered below, staring up, waiting for him to jump. He wasn't going to jump. He was a window washer. But by that Thursday, the rumor that ruined financiers were throwing themselves out of skyscrapers had already taken hold so completely that an ordinary man at his job drew a crowd of spectators expecting a corpse.

That detail tells you almost everything about how the crash of 1929 actually worked — and how it's been remembered. This chapter walks through what actually happened on the trading floor of the New York Stock Exchange — and then explains why a falling stock market, all by itself, could never have produced a decade of misery.

Start before October. Start, in fact, with the people who were supposed to be the grown-ups in the room — the Federal Reserve. By 1928, the governors of many regional reserve banks and a majority of the Federal Reserve Board had decided the stock market had become a problem. They watched ordinary men and women pouring borrowed money into shares, and they believed, as the Board put it, that speculation was diverting money away from real commerce and industry. So they decided to do something. The trouble was, they couldn't agree on what.

Two camps formed inside the Fed, and the disagreement matters because it's the first real fork in this story. The Board in Washington favored what they called direct action — quietly leaning on member banks to stop lending to stock speculators, while publicly warning the public off the market. George Harrison, the governor of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, wanted something blunter. He wanted to raise the discount rate, the rate banks paid to borrow from the Fed itself. Raise that, and you raise the cost of borrowing for everyone — firms, consumers, speculators alike. Through 1929, New York asked the Board again and again for permission to hike. The Board kept saying no. Finally, in August of 1929, they relented, and New York's discount rate climbed to 6 percent.

Here's the part that complicates the simple story. That rate increase rippled outward in a way nobody fully intended. Because the world was tied together by the gold standard — and you'll hear much more about gold near the end of this course — the Fed's tightening forced foreign central banks to raise their own rates to keep their gold from flowing to America. Economic historians like Barry Eichengreen, and the famous pair Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz, have argued that this tight-money policy helped tip economies around the world toward recession before a single share was dumped in panic. So there's a live debate here, and it's worth being honest about it. Did the Fed's 1928–29 tightening cause the crash? The cautious answer is that it didn't pull the trigger, but it absolutely thinned the air the market was breathing. The boom was already standing on tiptoe.

Because — and this is the strange thing — the boom didn't stop when the Fed tightened. Stock prices kept climbing right through the summer of 1929. The Dow Jones Industrial Average had risen six-fold from sixty-three in August of 1921 to 381 in September of 1929. And it was at that peak that the Yale economist Irving Fisher — one of the most respected economists alive — declared that stock prices had reached what looked like a permanently high plateau. He said it, and then the floor fell out from under him. It is one of the most quoted, most cruelly timed sentences in the history of economics, and it's worth sitting with for a second, because Fisher wasn't a fool. He was brilliant. He simply believed, like almost everyone, that the New Era was real…

So here's the sequence, because the dates get tangled in the retelling and it helps to walk them in order. Stay with this for a few steps. Thursday, October 24th — Black Thursday. The market opened and selling came in waves. The trading floor descended into something close to chaos, and the ticker tape, the machine that printed out current prices, fell hours behind the actual trades. Think about what that means for a moment. Every investor in the country watching the tape was looking at prices from the recent past, with no idea what their shares were really worth right now. In a panic, that uncertainty is gasoline.

That afternoon, the second part of the story happened — the part that gives Black Thursday its peculiar shape. A coalition of the country's most powerful bankers met and decided to do what J.P. Morgan's people had done in earlier panics: stage a rescue. They pooled their money and very publicly began buying large blocks of shares, especially blue-chip stocks like U.S. Steel, to show the market that smart money was confident. Charles Mitchell, the president of National City Bank — which we now call Citibank — and, notably, a director of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, was among the financial leaders encouraging people to keep buying. And it worked. For a few days, it worked. The market steadied. The weekend papers were cautiously hopeful. Confidence, it seemed, had been restored.

It hadn't. And here's where most people get the chronology wrong — they think Black Thursday was the bottom. It wasn't even close. The real damage came the following week. On Monday, October 28th — Black Monday — the Dow fell nearly 13 percent in a single day. The bankers' rescue had no answer for that. And then Tuesday, October 29th — Black Tuesday — the market dropped almost another 12 percent, on volume so heavy the exchange could barely process it. By mid-November, the Dow had lost almost half its value. Half. In a matter of weeks.

Now, why did it fall so fast? Why did selling beget more selling, instead of bargain hunters stepping in to catch a falling knife? The answer is the single most important mechanical fact about the crash, and it comes straight back to the borrowed money this course keeps circling. The answer is the margin call.

As already seen, margin accounts let buyers put down as little as 10 percent, with the shares themselves as collateral. When prices fell, brokers issued margin calls; most investors didn't have the cash, so brokers sold their shares automatically. Multiply that across hundreds of thousands of accounts and forced selling drove prices lower, triggering the next round of calls.

So if someone stopped you here and asked why the market collapsed instead of just dipping — what would you say? … The selling wasn't a choice. It was mechanical. Leverage that had magnified the gains on the way up now magnified the losses on the way down, and the margin call turned a decline into a self-feeding spiral. The market wasn't being sold by frightened people deciding to get out. A huge share of it was being sold automatically, by brokers protecting their loans, in a chain reaction no individual could stop.

That's the documented machinery. Now let's separate it from the folklore, because the crash of 1929 may be the single most mythologized week in American economic history. The image of ruined stockbrokers raining down from Wall Street windows is, by the careful accounts of historians who've gone back to the records, largely a myth. There was no epidemic of suicides on those October days. The window washer who drew a crowd is closer to the truth than the leaping banker — people were primed to see catastrophe everywhere, and the legend grew in the telling. This matters, and not as trivia. When you mistake the crash for a single apocalyptic moment of mass death, you make it the cause of everything that followed. When you see it for what it was — a brutal, mechanical, leverage-driven repricing — you start asking the right question. Which is: how did a stock market crash become a Depression?

And the honest answer is that it shouldn't have. This is the heart of it. Most Americans did not own stock in 1929. A market crash, however violent, wipes out paper wealth and ruins speculators, but by itself it does not put a quarter of the workforce out of a job for years. Think of the analogy this way. The crash was like a fire alarm going off in a building. Loud, terrifying, impossible to ignore. But a fire alarm doesn't burn anything down. What burned the building down was the fire already smoldering inside the walls — the consumer debt, the wage stagnation that meant most people couldn't actually afford to keep buying what the economy made, the farms that had been in depression for a decade, and above all the thousands of fragile banks waiting to fall like dominoes. The crash was the alarm. The fire was the structure underneath.

So strip away the legend and a few things are doing the real work here. The Fed's tightening thinned the air before the fall, though it didn't cause the crash on its own. The collapse was fast and self-feeding because of margin calls, not because of mass panic alone — the borrowed money that built the boom is the same borrowed money that detonated the bust. And the famous suicides were mostly myth, which matters because it tempts us to treat one terrible week as the whole story.

Here's the line worth carrying out of this chapter: the stock market crash didn't cause the Great Depression any more than a thunderclap causes a storm — it was the loudest sign of forces that had been gathering for years. The market would keep sliding, all the way down to 41 in the summer of 1932, eighty-nine percent below its peak, and it wouldn't claw back to its 1929 high until November of 1954. But the truly devastating phase of this story hadn't even started yet. Because while the headlines screamed about Wall Street, a little-noticed financial house in Tennessee was about to fail — and the chain of small banks that failed with it is where the crash finally became a catastrophe.